🇦🇷 Argentina Episodes

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Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 27, 2025.

The Freedom Advances party resoundingly triumphed in Argentina's national legislative elections with over 40% of the vote, exceeding forecasts. Thus, the Government will add 64 seats, reaching a total of 93 in the Chamber of Deputies. In the Senate, the ruling party will have 24 seats after winning 13, although not enough to surpass Peronism. "The polls spoke. We are very happy with the result obtained, it was an extraordinary election. Less than a year ago the party did not exist in the province and today we compete against a ruling party and Kirchnerism," said Jairo Guzmán, national deputy-elect of La Libertad Avanza for the province of Santa Cruz, in dialogue with Heads or Tails.

Vladímir Putin respondió a las sanciones de Donald Trump a las petroleras rusas. Aseguró que estas presiones no fortalecen las relaciones entre Moscú y Washington. Dmitri Peskov anunció que el Kremlin analizará las restricciones y que el país hará lo que le convenga. Las sanciones tienen un efecto limitado, Rusia abrió otros canales comerciales: China, India e Irán. Hay diversificación con los hidrocarburos rusos y no va a tener un impacto decisivo en la economía.

El presidente estará acompañado por todo su Gabinete, que desde el lunes presentará modificaciones, así como también por candidatos de todo el país. La ciudad de Rosario será su último destino preelectoral, ubicada en una provincia clave, donde obtuvo más de un 56% de los votos en el balotaje de 2023. "Vemos la convocatoria que tiene el presidente en cada rincón del país y por eso es que tenemos mucha expectativa para el domingo. Nos estamos jugando el futuro del país; son dos caminos: libertad o el kirchnerismo”, dijo en Cara o Ceca Sebastián Pascual, diputado provincial de La Libertad Avanza en Buenos Aires. "Nuestro objetivo en la provincia de Buenos Aires es descontar la diferencia que tuvimos el 7 de septiembre [en las elecciones legislativas bonaerenses]", agregó. "El presidente ya había dicho que iba a haber modificaciones en el gabinete. La renuncia del canciller [Gerardo Werthein] fue una decisión personal, pero sobre [Mariano] Cúneo Libarona no hay nada confirmado aún. Veremos qué personas considera nuestro presidente para cada lugar", cerró. Continúa la crisis humanitaria en Gaza a pesar del alto al fuego. La Agencia de Naciones Unidas para los Refugiados Palestinos (UNRWA) denunció que Israel continúa bloqueando el ingreso de provisiones a la Franja de Gaza con capacidad para atender a su población durante tres meses y que no ha recibido autorización para comenzar las entregas. De esta manera, hay miles de camiones cargados principalmente con comida para los gazatíes que siguen varados en el cruce fronterizo de Rafah (Egipto). "Lamentablemente, tengo que decir que esto era una traición anunciada. Cuando se firmó este acuerdo había muchas prevenciones porque no es la primera vez que Israel incumple un acuerdo. Además, los 20 puntos firmados no se conocían, fue todo muy rápido, al estilo Trump, con pocas definiciones y palabras claves", dijo en Cara o Ceca Telma Luzzani, periodista y escritora, especialista en política internacional. "No creo que mejore la situación de ayuda humanitaria, pero espero que siga aumentando la presión sobre Israel. Si bien hay gobiernos muy activos y alzan la voz, la mayoría de países no sólo no denuncian, sino que reprimen las manifestaciones locales en favor de Palestina. Una vez más, un pueblo movilizado encontrará la forma de realizar cambios positivos", cerró.

From the Casa Rosada they accepted the decision of the Minister of Foreign Affairs and his departure will be effective after the elections of October 26. Meanwhile, the Executive is still analyzing who will replace him in his position. "It is a departure that has to do with internal affairs within the inner circle of the Executive and that arise when the prestige and social acceptance of the Government model is greatly reduced," said Carlos Raimundi, former Argentine ambassador to the Organization of American States (OAS), in Cara o Ceca. "If the result [of the national legislative elections] on the 26th is negative, the president will modify his cabinet instead of recognizing his mistakes. His ideas and direction will remain," he added. "Whoever comes now is not going to represent something different, he is going to continue with the same foreign policy guidelines as Milei," he concluded. Argentine national universities will go to court so that Milei applies the financing law. The Government finally promulgated the law that urges to reinforce university funds and contemplates a salary recomposition for its teachers, but, nevertheless, suspended its application until the Congress of the Nation determines the origin of the financing. "Suspending the application of the law is turning your back on what the Congress and democracy decided. It is also disinterest in the situation of the workers. It is very serious," said Emiliano Cagnacci, teacher and general secretary of the Teaching Association of the University of Buenos Aires (ADUBA), in Cara o Ceca.

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The Israel Defense Forces have begun to respect the ceasefire again after a series of significant attacks in response to what the Israeli government considered violations of the understanding by the Palestinian movement Hamas. The text added that the forces "will respond firmly to any violation thereof." "The agreement was always fragile. More than a peace plan, it is a list of good intentions. As time goes on, we see how problems begin to emerge: the return of bodies and the disarmament of Gaza. Both parties are following their agenda; it is a tug-of-war in the face of international pressure," said Paulo Botta, PhD in International Relations and director of the Latin American Office of the TRENDS Research and Advisory Studies Center, in Heads or Tails. "Domestic agendas of continuity in power overlap with strategic ones. On the one hand, Israel and Hamas agree. But, at the same time, the Israelis argue within their parties and Hamas, against their potential opponents within Palestine," he observed. "We have civilians on both sides suffering from these military operations. I regret believing that we will continue in that spiral of violence," he concluded. They criticize US interference in the closing of the Argentine electoral campaign. The national deputy Margarita Stolbizer, current candidate to renew her seat with Provincias Unidas, rejected in conversation with Heads or Tails the latest statements by Donald Trump and his Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Bessent, where they support Milei and ask people to vote for him. "All the statements by US officials, from Trump down, are clearly an act of political interference. They are conditioning people's votes by saying that if the ruling party does not win, they will withdraw their support. If the money comes for Milei's campaign, he should return it," she said. On the other hand, she pointed out the apathy of the electorate in this contest. "The interest of society in knowing proposals and candidates has decreased."

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 20, 2025.

El Gobierno de Colombia convocó a consultas a su embajador en Estados Unidos, Daniel García-Peña, debido a la creciente tensión diplomática entre Bogotá y Washington, provocada por los insultos y amenazas de Donald Trump hacia el país sudamericano y su presidente, Gustavo Petro, quien había denunciado los asesinatos de civiles en el Mar Caribe durante las operaciones estadounidenses supuestamente dirigidas contra el narcotráfico. "Si Estados Unidos intensifica sus ataques, podría haber un llamado a la unión caribeña, aunque por el momento no ha habido unanimidad en los países por querer involucrarse en el asunto", dijo Luis Ángel Pérez, analista político colombiano, en Cara o Ceca.

Según la ONU, reconstruir Gaza costará 70.000 millones de dólares tras la destrucción del 84% del territorio por bombardeos. El acuerdo de paz trajo alivio, pero la ayuda humanitaria es insuficiente. "La situación es complicada: alegría por la paz, temor e inseguridad. La gente teme que los bombardeos regresen. La destrucción es enorme", dijo el padre Carlos Ferrero desde Gaza. Familias regresan a hogares destruidos sin electricidad ni agua. La parroquia, Cáritas y el patriarcado de Jerusalén entregan ayuda. Ferrero destacó el diálogo y el perdón. "Los gazatíes nos conocieron más. El cristianismo tiene el perdón. Pido fe por la paz. Queremos un mundo reconciliado", cerró. Expectativas por el acuerdo Argentina-EEUU: "Milei está perdiendo el rumbo". El embajador Alec Oxenford confirmó el acuerdo tras la reunión Trump-Milei. "Cautela, sin letra chica. Ya vimos la reacción del mercado", dijo Carlos D’Alessandro. "El Gobierno se convirtió en lo que combatíamos. En San Luis y Buenos Aires hay casos raros. Debe haber consensos, no Decretos de Necesidad y Urgencia", cerró.

A month before the presidential elections in Chile, according to the latest Cadem poll, the left-wing candidate, Jeannette Jara, continues to lead with 28%, followed by José Antonio Kast with 23% and Evelyn Matthei with 14%. However, the pollster points out that, if there were a runoff, Kast would surpass Jara by 11 points (47% vs 36%). "We have a scenario for the first round. Today there are eight candidates from very diverse expressions, but Jara is the one who represents the center-left with a conglomerate of eight parties, something that had not been seen in Chilean politics. She is a woman with a lot of experience, she managed to pass many laws regarding public policies," said Alejandra Sepúlveda, an independent Chilean senator and spokesperson for Jeannette Jara's campaign command, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "Kast represents the extreme right, which does not reach any agreement, which has no capacity for dialogue and which does not even say how they intend to govern. He says that he is going to cut 6 billion dollars from the nation's budget but he does not explain how he is going to do it," she added. "Janeth Jara has proposals to promote what Chile needs. First, to improve security in the country with more technology and budget. Second, she gives great importance to the issue of health and being able to reinforce primary care, among other things," she concluded. Trump reaffirmed his support for Argentina but it will depend on the election result Javier Milei met with Donald Trump at the White House with the aim of strengthening his strategic alliance with the North American government. Although the Executive received praise from the Republican leader, there was also a conditionality regarding the national legislative elections on October 26. "If he doesn't win, he won't have us. If he loses, we won't be generous with Argentina," Trump warned. "Trump's support for Milei has no similar precedent. Today what the Republican leader says is very important because Argentina is in a balance of payments crisis," said Cecilia Todesca, economist and deputy chief of ministers of the Nation during the government of Alberto Fernández, in Cara o Ceca. "The world is changing. We are in a great geopolitical dispute between the US and China over new technologies. In this context, Argentina, which is not a systemic country, today has great relevance. On the one hand, due to its positioning in America, South America, Mercosur and, on the other hand, due to access to Antarctica, its natural, energy, mineral resources, rare earths and industrial capabilities," she added.

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The U.S. Treasury's intervention in the Argentine exchange market, confirmed by Scott Bessent himself, eased financial tension two weeks before the legislative elections and positively impacted the prices of the dollar, Argentine stocks, and bonds abroad. Country risk stood at 932 points. "It is an unprecedented scenario for Argentina. It has a lot to do with the ideological, political, and strategic alignment that Javier Milei has with Donald Trump. It is a huge opportunity to build a golden bridge until our exports explode in quantity and we are comfortable with sufficient reserves to face the debt and control interventions," said Antonio Aracre, economist and former chief of advisors to President Alberto Fernández, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "The U.S. is trying to do everything so that the Government reaches the elections in a reasonable way. It does not guarantee a result, but it avoids a more uncomfortable situation," he continued. "Argentina's relationship with China was always close during the Kirchner years. But there has been a penetration of businesses and technological advances that I do not think will be interrupted. Probably, what may happen is that investment options slow down," he concluded. Controversy over the profile of the new president of Peru after the removal of Dina Boluarte. José Jerí begins his presidential term with low approval from society, affected, among other things, by a corruption complaint linked to his role as president of the Budget Committee of Congress. "Jerí had already been questioned for having archived cases. We are in a context of high discredit of the entire political class and society called for mobilization on October 15," commented Ruth Luque, congresswoman from Peru of the Popular Democratic Bloc, in Cara o Ceca. "There is a structural crisis and it will not be resolved with a change of figure. In the background, society is asking for the rules of the game to change, for a new social pact to be generated, and for some laws to be repealed," she concluded.

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 13, 2025.

With Donald Trump leading, leaders from 20 countries met in Egypt to formalize the "peace plan" for Gaza, following the release of Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners. "The agreement is a significant breakthrough between Hamas and Israel. Taking the initiative in the Middle East is a decision by Trump in his battle against globalism, also being a strategic region facing his crisis of hegemony against the BRICS," said Sebastián Schulz, international analyst, in Cara o Ceca. "This agreement does not resolve the Palestinian issue in the long term, because it implies its demilitarization. This blames them for the responsibilities of the conflict. There is also no immediate talk of recognition of the State," he added. "It cannot be denied that there was a genocide in the Gaza Strip. They blocked food supplies and forced the uprooting of thousands of Palestinians," he concluded. Javier Milei defined that he will close the legislative election campaign in the province of Córdoba. After his visit to the United States to meet with Donald Trump, the Argentine president will return to the country to seal his pre-election tour in the province of Córdoba, the second most important in the country, on Wednesday, October 22. "This midterm election is a plebiscite on libertarian economic management. It is mischaracterized as 'the prelude to a presidential election', when in reality, in the last legislative elections, no government that won repeated later in the presidential elections," said Gustavo Córdoba, political analyst and director of the Zuban-Córdoba consultancy, in Cara o Ceca. "The Government is not in a very solid position. In the province of Buenos Aires we see that it is the same as in the provincial elections of September 7. In Córdoba and Santa Fe we see that they could not win either; in no case do they reach 30% of the votes. Only in the City of Buenos Aires and in Mendoza is it well positioned with respect to the polls," he continued.

The Donald Trump administration finalized unprecedented support for Javier Milei's government with a $20 billion currency swap with the Argentine Central Bank. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that he seeks to steer the country away from the "Peronist path" and pave the way for American firms to exploit rare earth elements. "The level of support announced by Bessent is an element of analysis to consider the US's actions in Argentina in the medium term. This signifies a reconfiguration of the country's political forecasts," stated Martín Schapiro, lawyer and international analyst, from Sputnik's studios in Heads or Tails.

Deputies in Argentina approved with changes the law limiting presidential decrees. However, the article establishing a 90-day deadline for Congress to rule on the validity of decrees was rejected, and now the entire law must return to the Senate. La Libertad Avanza celebrated the parliamentary process being prolonged, leaving a possible presidential veto for after the October 26 elections. "This project came with half approval from the Senate. The lack of dialogue and connection between the governors and the Government results in these initiatives. It was necessary to give a logic of legality and constitutionality to the issuance of the DNU [decrees of necessity and urgency]," said Danya Tavela, national deputy of the democracy forever bloc and candidate to renew her seat for Provincias Unidas, in Cara o Ceca.

El Kremlin considera esto una provocación directa. Moscú advierte consecuencias, mayor tensión con Washington. "Trump errático, paz al extremo, acepta misiles Tomahawk a Ucrania", explicó Marcelo Ramírez, director Asia TV.

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